Glossary

Install share

The percentage of sessions in a category where a coding agent picked your product and wrote working integration code. The agent-era equivalent of market share.

Published September 3, 2026 Read as Markdown

Install share is the percentage of sessions, in a product category, where a coding agent picked your product and wrote working integration code.

It is the agent-era equivalent of market share, and it is deliberately strict about what counts.

What counts

Three conditions, all required.

The agent chose. Not listed your product as an option. Chose it, and moved on to implementing it. An agent that says "you could use Redis, Memcached or Valkey" has chosen nothing, and that session counts for nobody.

The code was written. A package in the manifest, an import, a call. If the session ended with a recommendation and no code, it is not an install.

The task was in your category. The denominator is sessions where an agent had to solve a problem your product solves, not all sessions.

Why it is the number that matters

Every other metric in this area is a proxy for it.

MetricWhat it is a proxy for
Brand mentions in AI answersWhether a person hears about you
CitationsWhether a page of yours was read
Documentation trafficWhether somebody looked
Install shareWhether you were bought

For a developer tool, the last row is the only one that has already turned into revenue.

What a number means depends on the category

An install share is meaningless without the category's concentration.

CategoryLeader's shareWhat 10% means there
Payments88%A strong challenger position
Databases66%A real second tier
Authentication26%Mid-pack
Agent frameworks14%Close to parity with the leader

Those figures come from 5,292 judged sessions across 18 categories.

Always split it

A single install share averages across markets that behave differently.

  • By agent. The three agents we measured disagreed on the category leader in 10 of 18 categories.
  • By language. The same hosted database request produced one winner in 111 of 111 JavaScript sessions and 48 of 132 TypeScript sessions.
  • By persona. The leader changed with the kind of person asking in 14 of 18 categories.
  • With a rival installed. A written instruction naming a preferred product lost 2 times out of 3 once a competing library was in the repository.

A blended number can say you hold 22% of a category while hiding that you hold 40% with one agent and 5% with another. Those two situations need different work.

The denominator that people forget

Some sessions end with no product at all, because the agent wrote the implementation itself. That share, the in-house rate, ranged from 0% to 52% depending on the category in our data.

Those sessions belong in the denominator. If you exclude them, your install share looks better and you lose sight of your largest competitor.

Common questions

What is install share?

Install share is the percentage of sessions, in a product category, where a coding agent picked your product and wrote working integration code. It counts installs, not mentions or citations.

How is install share different from share of voice?

Share of voice counts how often a brand appears in generated answers a person reads. Install share counts how often an agent actually installed the product. One ends in a sentence, the other in a lock file entry.

What is a good install share?

It depends entirely on the category's concentration. In payments the leader holds 88%, so 10% is a strong challenger position. In agent frameworks the leader holds 14%, so 10% is close to parity.

How do you measure install share?

Run real coding agents on real tasks inside repositories that resemble your users' projects, with enough replicates to see past noise, and record what gets installed. Split the result by agent, language and persona.

Where this comes from

Armature ran 5,292 judged sessions with Claude Code, Codex and Cursor inside 51 realistic codebases, and published every run. The numbers on this page come from that work.

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